Sunday, February 21, 2021

Stock Market Outlook - Febuary 21 2021

The stock market outlook remains in an uptrend, with prices now near the lower bound of a former bullish price channel.

The ADX shows a really weak trend in place, but the other two signals are still showing uptrends for now.

The Gamestop hearings provided some entertainment last week, but the move in longer-term interest rates is more important.

More commentary after the jump... Stock Market Outlook - Week of Februaruy 21 2021

Sunday, February 14, 2021

Stock Market Outlook - February 14 2021

The stock market outlook shows an uptrend, with prices near the upper bound of a former bullish price channel.

Still risk on...for now. By all typical valuation measures, stocks are extremely overvalued. Not too surprising...where else are you going to park your money these days?

Watch the $VIX; it's still elevated when compared to the last few years, but nearing the low point of the since the pandemic sell-off.

More commentary after the jump... Stock Market Outlook - Week of Februaruy 14 2021

Sunday, February 7, 2021

Stock Market Outlook - February 7 2021

The stock market outlook shows an uptrend, as stocks fought back against recent bearishness.

All the signals are green again, but there is still cause for concern below the surface.

Keep watch, as prices take the stairs up and the elevator down.

More commentary after the jump... Stock Market Outlook - Week of Februaruy 7 2021

Sunday, January 31, 2021

Stock Market Outlook - January 31 2021

The stock market outlook still shows an uptrend, but there's bearish price action across the board.

Closing below the 50-day moving average is all it will take to switch the signal to a downtrend, so stay frosty.

The stock market has had a good run since November, so don't be shy about taking some money off the table (e.g. recover your initial investment). Keep your losses small no matter what. You can always buy back in if/when price action improves.

Much more commentary on Gamestop, WallStreetBets, and Retail traders after the jump...Stock Market Outlook - Week of January 31 2021

Sunday, January 24, 2021

Stock Market Outlook - January 24 2021

The stock market outlook remains in an uptrend and recovered a bit of strength last week.

Good or bad, market prices are at historical extremes. Prices can higher, now is definitely NOT the time to be in love with your holdings (not that there is ever a good time for that).

More commentary after the jump... Stock Market Outlook - Week of January 24 2021

Sunday, January 17, 2021

Stock Market Outlook - January 17 2021

The stock market outlook remains in an uptrend, albeit a weakening one.

The 3 signals we track remain bullish, but price action hasn't been the stuff of strong rallys.

Stock Market Outlook - Week of January 17 2021

Sunday, January 10, 2021

Stock Market Outlook - January 10 2021

The stock market outlook remains in an uptrend; all three signals are in the green.

But price remains extended from the 200-day moving average (~14.5%), as it has for the past 9 weeks or so.

More commentary after the jump... Stock Market Outlook - Week of January 10 2021